Logo 06 May 2025

Labor Day travel data signals growing consumer confidence

Labor Day travel data suggests the US-China trade war has done little to dent consumer confidence, at least for now.

Per the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, during the five-day holiday (May 1-5):

  • 314 million people traveled domestically, up 6.4% y/y
  • Total tourism-related expenditure hit RMB 180.3 billion, up 8.0% y/y

In real terms, per capita spending rose 1.6% y/y, and increased 2.2% relative to 2019.

Notably, the number of foreign tourists surged 43.1% y/y, driven by Beijing's visa-free travel policy (Caixin).

Get smart: The modest bump in per capita expenditure relative to pre-COVID levels is hardly anything to shout about – especially considering the 2019 Labor Day holiday was one day shorter.

Get smarter: However, as we've previously discussed, the total number of travelers is a far more important metric than per capita expenditure.

  • Based on this metric, consumer sentiment is slowly but surely moving in the right direction.
sources
Ministry of Culture and Tourism: 2025年“五一”假期文化和旅游市场情况

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Labor Day travel data suggests the US-China trade war has done little to dent consumer confidence, at least for now.
Per the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, during the five-day holiday (May 1-5):

314 million people traveled domestically, up 6.4% y/y
Total tourism-related expenditure hit RMB 180.3 ...