China is rethinking its industrial technology export controls

    When most people think of China’s export controls, they think of dual-use controls – the dramatic, headline-grabbing restrictions on critical mineral products like gallium, graphite, and most famously, rare earths. Beijing has famously deployed these levers as retaliatory weapons in its tech war with Washington. But there’s a parallel, less headline-grabbing export control system that rarely makes the news.  And new

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    Beijing is betting on producer services to drive the next phase of manufacturing growth

    Beijing has a new economic priority – and it’s one that will reshape China’s growth model for decades to come. Policymakers are increasingly convinced that the next phase of China’s development requires a dramatic expansion of producer services – that is, the ecosystem of support that sits behind and around manufacturing. Think less call centres and coffee shops, more industrial

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    Trump, Taiwan, and the Art of the Deal: Why “nothing’s changed” isn’t the full story

    In the lead-up to US President Donald Trump’s visit to China last week, the policyverse was holding its breath to see what the summit would herald for Taiwan. On the surface, nothing much seemed to happen. Xi Jinping forcefully restated China’s position, calling it “the most important issue in China-US relations” with the potential to bring the two countries into conflict if

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    China blocks Meta’s Manus acquisition using foreign investment security review

    Beijing just reached into its regulatory toolkit and pulled out a weapon it has never publicly used before – an obscure national security review mechanism that is blocking Meta’s acquisition of Manus. Some context: Manus is a Chinese AI agent startup that relocated to Singapore in June 2025. In December 2025, Meta acquired the company.  Beijing was never going to let

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    China’s new anti-sanction regulations: What foreign companies need to know

    Beijing’s anti-sanction toolkit just got two powerful new additions. Earlier this month, within a single week, the State Council released two regulations that sharply expand how Chinese authorities can push back against foreign sanctions, export controls, and extraterritorial enforcement: Regulations on Industrial and Supply Chain Security (RISCS), released on April 7 Regulations on Countering Improper Foreign Extraterritorial Jurisdiction (RCIFEJ), released

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    Why China’s strong Q1 print won’t last

    On the surface, China’s economy looks fine.  GDP grew 5.0% y/y in Q1, faster than Q4’s 4.5% growth, and at the upper range of Beijing’s annual growth target of 4.5-5%. So China’s economy has shrugged off the Iran war and entered 2026 in good shape, right? Not so fast. Despite the punchy headline growth rate, economic momentum was clearly fading

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