Logo 25 Feb 2026

China’s investment slump: The 2026 outlook

Subscribe to keep reading.

Trivium Markets keeps you briefed on the latest developments in China markets policy.

Already a subscriber? Log in.

To view this report as a PDF, click here. Executive summary

After a 3.8% contraction in 2025, China’s fixed asset investment outlook for 2026 remains uncertain. Last year’s major drags – property and manufacturing overcapacity controls – will continue to dampen growth, but their decline will ease b...