Logo 23 Apr 2025

Beijing dispatches team to supervise ceasefire in Myanmar’s Shan State

Beijing is flexing its muscles in Myanmar.

On Tuesday, China's foreign ministry (MoFA) confirmed that Beijing has dispatched a team to northern Myanmar to supervise the ceasefire it brokered in January between the country's military rulers and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA).

Some context: China initially took a hands-off approach to the civil war raging in Myanmar, standing by its oft-touted diplomatic principle of non-interference in other countries' "internal affairs."

  • But since last year, it has taken a more hands-on approach – first pressuring military leaders and rebel groups to find a solution to scam centers, then hosting talks between the junta and various resistance groups.

Putting boots on the ground to enforce a ceasefire that it brokered marks a major step change in Beijing's approach to diplomacy.

Get smart: There are plenty of reasons why Beijing may be intervening – from border security to regional influence – but we suspect securing China's supply of rare-earth-rich ores is paramount.

  • Myanmar supplies roughly a quarter of the ore that China imports for processing into rare earth elements (REEs).
  • In recent months, Myanmar's ore exports have plummeted after rebels in Kachin State cut off trade.

Get smarter: As US-China competition over critical minerals heats up, China's incentives to ensure stability along key mineral trade routes are also evolving.

sources

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Beijing is flexing its muscles in Myanmar.
On Tuesday, China's foreign ministry (MoFA) confirmed that Beijing has dispatched a team to northern Myanmar to supervise the ceasefire it brokered in January between the country's military rulers and the Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army (MNDAA).
S...